Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000709 0.000812 0.000920 0.001044 0.001180 0.001325 0.001491
2025-02-16 0.000540 0.000680 0.000838 0.001031 0.001257 0.001511 0.001817
2025-02-23 0.000460 0.000617 0.000804 0.001041 0.001328 0.001662 0.002078
2025-03-02 0.000398 0.000566 0.000775 0.001048 0.001392 0.001803 0.002328
2025-03-09 0.000335 0.000504 0.000723 0.001019 0.001402 0.001873 0.002489
2025-03-16 0.000284 0.000451 0.000675 0.000989 0.001407 0.001933 0.002633
2025-03-23 0.000251 0.000419 0.000652 0.000987 0.001444 0.002031 0.002827
2025-03-30 0.000223 0.000391 0.000631 0.000986 0.001481 0.002128 0.003019
2025-04-06 0.000196 0.000362 0.000606 0.000976 0.001502 0.002204 0.003185
2025-04-13 0.000171 0.000331 0.000576 0.000957 0.001510 0.002259 0.003322
2025-04-20 0.000159 0.000321 0.000575 0.000978 0.001573 0.002391 0.003565
2025-04-27 0.000147 0.000309 0.000570 0.000992 0.001627 0.002510 0.003792
2025-05-04 0.000129 0.000284 0.000544 0.000974 0.001634 0.002566 0.003935
2025-05-11 0.000112 0.000261 0.000518 0.000954 0.001636 0.002614 0.004070
2025-05-18 0.000103 0.000251 0.000512 0.000966 0.001685 0.002730 0.004299
2025-05-25 0.000094 0.000239 0.000504 0.000972 0.001727 0.002835 0.004515
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000218 0.000476 0.000945 0.001714 0.002859 0.004616
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000198 0.000449 0.000917 0.001698 0.002877 0.004708
2025-06-15 0.000063 0.000187 0.000438 0.000915 0.001723 0.002957 0.004890
2025-06-22 0.000056 0.000178 0.000428 0.000914 0.001749 0.003039 0.005076
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000166 0.000414 0.000904 0.001760 0.003098 0.005229
2025-07-06 0.000043 0.000153 0.000396 0.000886 0.001756 0.003132 0.005345
2025-07-13 0.000041 0.000151 0.000398 0.000906 0.001817 0.003269 0.005617